Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.037455 0.040411 0.043511 0.047010 0.050855 0.054958 0.059676
2025-05-11 0.032547 0.036699 0.041293 0.046773 0.053158 0.060393 0.069256
2025-05-18 0.029206 0.034026 0.039576 0.046480 0.054897 0.064896 0.077784
2025-05-25 0.026816 0.032071 0.038319 0.046362 0.056542 0.069126 0.086068
2025-06-01 0.024658 0.030132 0.036817 0.045673 0.057241 0.072038 0.092725
2025-06-08 0.022783 0.028359 0.035325 0.044786 0.057492 0.074243 0.098466
2025-06-15 0.021364 0.027040 0.034278 0.044337 0.058196 0.076987 0.105042
2025-06-22 0.020148 0.025888 0.033347 0.043931 0.058862 0.079641 0.111610
2025-06-29 0.018916 0.024630 0.032179 0.043091 0.058815 0.081220 0.116646
2025-07-06 0.018279 0.024127 0.031989 0.043574 0.060642 0.085578 0.126171
2025-07-13 0.017539 0.023437 0.031487 0.043561 0.061710 0.088840 0.134216
2025-07-20 0.017034 0.023040 0.031365 0.044070 0.063562 0.093384 0.144664
2025-07-27 0.016323 0.022321 0.030754 0.043828 0.064265 0.096211 0.152579
2025-08-03 0.015690 0.021683 0.030223 0.043670 0.065074 0.099246 0.161105
2025-08-10 0.015078 0.021046 0.029656 0.043414 0.065695 0.101991 0.169337
2025-08-17 0.014553 0.020509 0.029208 0.043308 0.066535 0.105135 0.178543
2025-08-24 0.013929 0.019795 0.028457 0.042674 0.066449 0.106672 0.184880
2025-08-31 0.013301 0.019050 0.027622 0.041857 0.065997 0.107521 0.189953
2025-09-07 0.012812 0.018495 0.027056 0.041443 0.066198 0.109522 0.197424
2025-09-14 0.012362 0.017983 0.026533 0.041069 0.066435 0.111586 0.205188
2025-09-21 0.011849 0.017352 0.025794 0.040295 0.065916 0.112209 0.210041
2025-09-28 0.011635 0.017179 0.025779 0.040740 0.067593 0.117045 0.224147
2025-10-05 0.011333 0.016857 0.025508 0.040727 0.068430 0.120327 0.235246